Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.052138 0.060784 0.070275 0.081450 0.094224 0.108352 0.125139
2025-04-06 0.038600 0.049770 0.063166 0.080336 0.101671 0.127216 0.160017
2025-04-13 0.029603 0.041768 0.057545 0.079323 0.108396 0.145628 0.196641
2025-04-20 0.025032 0.038231 0.056556 0.083521 0.121778 0.173617 0.248573
2025-04-27 0.021300 0.034970 0.055158 0.086614 0.133712 0.200768 0.302362
2025-05-04 0.017206 0.030284 0.050775 0.084478 0.137552 0.216664 0.341788
2025-05-11 0.014344 0.026931 0.047756 0.083740 0.143049 0.235159 0.386513
2025-05-18 0.011788 0.023562 0.044089 0.081267 0.145243 0.248503 0.424324
2025-05-25 0.009861 0.020917 0.041169 0.079502 0.148157 0.262969 0.464929
2025-06-01 0.008583 0.019236 0.039657 0.079899 0.154629 0.283654 0.517322
2025-06-08 0.007238 0.017153 0.037047 0.077856 0.156411 0.296368 0.557168
2025-06-15 0.006731 0.016723 0.037560 0.081764 0.169435 0.329742 0.635558
2025-06-22 0.005942 0.015549 0.036444 0.082416 0.176572 0.353594 0.699852
2025-06-29 0.005054 0.013965 0.034215 0.080485 0.178441 0.367927 0.748138
2025-07-06 0.004341 0.012651 0.032360 0.079062 0.181121 0.383977 0.800980
2025-07-13 0.004078 0.012424 0.032936 0.083027 0.195384 0.423719 0.902434
2025-07-20 0.003777 0.012035 0.033065 0.085985 0.207795 0.460821 1.001668
2025-07-27 0.003239 0.010870 0.031107 0.083804 0.208699 0.474609 1.055474
2025-08-03 0.002845 0.010028 0.029822 0.083040 0.212654 0.494988 1.124216
2025-08-10 0.002434 0.009032 0.027961 0.080571 0.212360 0.506256 1.174836
2025-08-17 0.002108 0.008225 0.026467 0.078812 0.213508 0.520665 1.233129
2025-08-24 0.001899 0.007752 0.025827 0.079201 0.219876 0.547090 1.319247
2025-08-31 0.001641 0.007042 0.024374 0.077173 0.219989 0.559364 1.375160